sean's Blog: statistically excessive analytical nerd
I submitted this article to the Cornell Daily Sun a couple weeks ago and they
rejected it (even though they have in my time here accepted more important
articles such as the men at Cornell not to date, giving the gift of oral
sex, or why a columnist shouldn't listen to "Hotel California"), but I
still wanted to share it with someone...since I think it's better than
any of that stuff.

If you don't know, Facebook is just a highly popular MySpace-like
social networking site originally intended just for college students
that debuted my freshman year. The "Minifeed Debacle" refers to a
"service" Facebook offered allowing people to see every miniscule
change their friends made to their profile...people are protesting
this as hard as they protest anything else...

In the epoch preceding the Great Facebook Minifeed Debacle of 2006
(namely, August) I sought to understand more thoroughly the politics of
Cornell students. Many have argued that Cornell's professorate
(especially in the humanities) is overwhelmingly liberal, but fewer have
analyzed whether the same trend holds for students as well. How then
could I test the political persuasions of Cornell students, especially by
major? Why, by using everyone's favorite social website, Facebook.
I know what you're immediately thinking. It is possible that this
analysis will be skewed if there is a certain political persuasion
underrepresented on Facebook...for instance, if people belonging to one
political group tend to be harder workers, they may be less likely to
have profiles. Others may not mention their political affiliation, or
may say their political affiliation is "Other" even if they have very
distinctive political views. Furthermore, there are the ridiculous
entries for "people" such as "God the Almighty" and "Cornell Squirrel",
who sometimes have political affiliations (although they seem to have
disappeared lately), or people may not be truthful about their major for
whatever reason. I chose not to omit these bizarre entries because it
would greatly increase the time spent on this frankly non-academic
project to look through over a thousand biology majors in an attempt to
find fake entries. Nonetheless, since many (most?) Facebookers do list
both their major and their political affiliation, I still think analyzing
students' Facebook-declared political views by major will be somewhat
suggestive in determining the most liberal and conservative majors, since
people will probably self-select what major they want to enter in part
based on their views, or they may be shaped by their professors’
political views, as many argue.

The simple method I used to determine how liberal or conservative
students in a major are is to simply give very liberal students a 0,
liberal students a 1, moderate students a 2, conservative students a 3,
and very conservative students a 4. (I am not opining my political
views; it just made sense to make the leftmost students left on the
x-axis.) A major with perfect balance between liberals and conservatives
would thus theoretically score 2. I ignored all majors with fewer than
25 political students, which left only 61 majors to analyze.
In terms of the 0-4 scale, the most liberal major was entomology, which
scored 0.6667...in other words, entomology students are on average to the
left of liberal...it was interesting that a major in the scientific realm
tested most liberal considering how much people talk about humanities
classes being more liberal than science courses. It was followed by
theatre arts (.7455), anthropology (.9271), fine arts (.9714), college
scholar (1.0172), film (1.0328), English (1.1046), international
development (1.1111), development sociology (1.1200), and natural
resources (1.1241). The ten most conservative majors were finance,
accounting, and real estate (1.9167), materials science and engineering
(1.8500), finance & fiscal policy (1.8409), atmospheric science (1.7869),
economics (1.7434), ILR (1.6897), information science (1.6806), animal
sciences (1.6713), mechanical & aerospace engineering (1.6700), and
classics (1.6563). Most large majors fell in between. Note that even
the most conservative major at Cornell tested left of center. Over the
entire campus, the political ratio was 1.4367, closer to liberal than
moderate, a key result.

I also took percentages of the most extreme, moderate, libertarian, and
apathetic majors. The extreme list is not particularly interesting,
because it eventually ends up being dominated by "very liberal" students
since there are few "very conservative" students at Cornell (or at least
on Facebook.) The majors with the most moderates tend to be the majors
that tested most conservative, with finance & fiscal policy (41.67%), ILR
(40%), classics (36.36%), economics (34.08%), materials science &
engineering (33.82%), finance, accounting, and real estate (32.14%) and
atmospheric science (31.34%) making both lists (but this time medicine
(34.21%), international development (31.58%), and chemistry (30.92%) join
the list as well.) Dance is by far the most apathetic major, with 30.26%
claiming to be apathetic (nearly as many as the number that are liberal.)
German (19.35%), materials science (18.38%), math (18.01%), cognitive
science (17.50%), earth & atmospheric science (17.07%), college scholar
(16.44%), applied & engineering physics (16.25%), philosophy (15.71%),
and electrical & computer engineering (15.37%) also make the apathy list.

And finally, I come to the libertarians, who cannot be lumped in with the
rest, since they may be economic or social libertarians, who would tend
to vote differently from each other. Due to the sheer number of
political treatises they must read, philosophy had the most libertarian
students (11.43%), followed by information science (9.57%), systems
engineering (8.11%), materials science & engineering (8.09%), chemistry
(7.73%), cognitive science (7.5%), finance, accounting and real estate
(7.14%), film (6.49%), applied & engineering physics (6.25%), and finance
& fiscal policy (6.25%). (Computer science (6%) just misses the list;
note the number of engineering majors here).

What precisely can we learn from these results? Perhaps not a lot, due
to the fact that Facebook is probably not a serious enough website to
compile statistics, but it does seem that conservative claims about how
liberal this campus is are well-founded since the most conservative
majors all tested left of center (even if narrowly). Kerry defeated Bush
in the Cornell 2004 mock election, 70% to 22%. Giving all the Kerry
voters 1 point for being liberal and the Bush voters 3 points for being
conservative, the average political ratio for the school should be
1.4747, and on Facebook, it is 1.4367, which is not too different (bear
in mind that some Kerry voters would no doubt be “very liberal”, which
might push the average closer to the Facebook average). So maybe
Facebook tells more truth than any of us give it credit for.
Posted: 9/25/2006 6:30:00 PM Total Comments: 0

Intro

When Kevin Harvick took the points lead with his win in the Sylvania 300, he became only the 40th different points leader in the Latford points system/chase era of Winston/Nextel Cup. This was a good excuse to show people this list I compiled earlier this summer of all the points leaders in this time span. Since this spans over 30 years, this is a pretty exclusive list. One thing that strikes me as notable is that even though only two former champions (Gordon and Kenseth) are in the chase, seven of the ten chasers have led the points in their careers (the exceptions being the newbies Kahne, Busch, and Hamlin.)



Driver                  Weeks driver held the points lead

Bobby Allison 1975:1-2
Richard Petty 1975:3-30
David Pearson 1976:1-2
Benny Parsons 1976:3
Richard Petty 1976:4
Benny Parsons 1976:5-9
Cale Yarborough 1976:10-11
Benny Parsons 1976:12-14
Cale Yarborough 1976:15-17
Benny Parsons 1976:18
Cale Yarborough 1976:19-30
David Pearson 1977:1
Cale Yarborough 1977:2-17
Richard Petty 1977:18
Cale Yarborough 1977:19-30, 1978:1-3
Benny Parsons 1978:4-9
Dave Marcis 1978:10
Benny Parsons 1978:11-12
Cale Yarborough 1978:13-30
Darrell Waltrip 1979:1-5
Bobby Allison 1979:6-7
Darrell Waltrip 1979:8-11
Bobby Allison 1979:12
Darrell Waltrip 1979:13-28
Richard Petty 1979:29
Darrell Waltrip 1979:30
Richard Petty 1979:31
Darrell Waltrip 1980:1
Dale Earnhardt 1980:2-31
Bobby Allison 1981:1-2
Richard Petty 1981:3-4
Bobby Allison 1981:5-24
Darrell Waltrip 1981:25-31
Bobby Allison 1982:1-2
Terry Labonte 1982:3-15
Bobby Allison 1982:16
Terry Labonte 1982:17-19
Bobby Allison 1982:20-26
Darrell Waltrip 1982:27-30
Cale Yarborough 1983:1
Joe Ruttman 1983:2
Bill Elliott 1983:3
Dick Brooks 1983:4
Neil Bonnett 1983:5-6
Bobby Allison 1983:7
Harry Gant 1983:8-9
Bobby Allison 1983:10-30
Cale Yarborough 1984:1
Darrell Waltrip 1984:2-3
Terry Labonte 1984:4
Darrell Waltrip 1984:5
Terry Labonte 1984:6
Darrell Waltrip 1984:7-15
Dale Earnhardt 1984:16-20
Terry Labonte 1984:21-30
Bill Elliott 1985:1
Darrell Waltrip 1985:2
Lake Speed 1985:3
Geoffrey Bodine 1985:4
Terry Labonte 1985:5-7
Geoffrey Bodine 1985:8
Terry Labonte 1985:9
Bill Elliott 1985:10
Terry Labonte 1985:11-12
Bill Elliott 1985:13-23
Darrell Waltrip 1985:24-28
Geoffrey Bodine 1986:1-2
Darrell Waltrip 1986:3-8
Dale Earnhardt 1986:9-29
Bill Elliott 1987:1-2
Dale Earnhardt 1987:3-29
Bobby Allison 1988:1
Neil Bonnett 1988:2-4
Dale Earnhardt 1988:5-11
Rusty Wallace 1988:12-19
Bill Elliott 1988:20-29
Darrell Waltrip 1989:1
Dale Earnhardt 1989:2-4
Alan Kulwicki 1989:5
Geoffrey Bodine 1989:6
Dale Earnhardt 1989:7-9
Darrell Waltrip 1989:10-11
Dale Earnhardt 1989:12-24
Rusty Wallace 1989:25-29
Derrike Cope 1990:1
Dale Earnhardt 1990:2-10
Morgan Shepherd 1990:11
Mark Martin 1990:12-27
Dale Earnhardt 1990:28-29
Ernie Irvan 1991:1
Dale Earnhardt 1991:2-4
Ricky Rudd 1991:5-8
Dale Earnhardt 1991:9-29
Davey Allison 1992:1-15
Bill Elliott 1992:16
Davey Allison 1992:17
Bill Elliott 1992:18-27
Davey Allison 1992:28
Alan Kulwicki 1992:29
Dale Jarrett 1993:1
Dale Earnhardt 1993:2
Dale Jarrett 1993:3
Dale Earnhardt 1993:4-6
Rusty Wallace 1993:7-9
Dale Earnhardt 1993:10-30
Sterling Marlin 1994:1-2
Ernie Irvan 1994:3-5
Dale Earnhardt 1994:6-7
Ernie Irvan 1994:8-15
Dale Earnhardt 1994:16-17
Ernie Irvan 1994:18
Dale Earnhardt 1994:19-31
Sterling Marlin 1995:1
Dale Earnhardt 1995:2-8
Jeff Gordon 1995:9
Dale Earnhardt 1995:10-13
Sterling Marlin 1995:14-15
Jeff Gordon 1995:16-31
Dale Jarrett 1996:1-7
Dale Earnhardt 1996:8-15
Terry Labonte 1996:16-17
Jeff Gordon 1996:18
Terry Labonte 1996:19-24
Jeff Gordon 1996:25-28
Terry Labonte 1996:29-31
Jeff Gordon 1997:1-3
Dale Jarrett 1997:4-9
Terry Labonte 1997:10-12
Jeff Gordon 1997:13-16
Terry Labonte 1997:17
Jeff Gordon 1997:18-21
Mark Martin 1997:22
Jeff Gordon 1997:23-32
Dale Earnhardt 1998:1
Rusty Wallace 1998:2-9
Jeremy Mayfield 1998:10
Jeff Gordon 1998:11-12
Jeremy Mayfield 1998:13-15
Jeff Gordon 1998:16-33, 1999:1
Mike Skinner 1999:2-4
Jeff Burton 1999:5-10
Dale Jarrett 1999:11-34, 2000:1-2
Bobby Labonte 2000:3-8
Mark Martin 2000:9
Bobby Labonte 2000:10-34
Michael Waltrip 2001:1
Rusty Wallace 2001:2
Sterling Marlin 2001:3
Jeff Gordon 2001:4
Dale Jarrett 2001:5-13
Jeff Gordon 2001:14-18
Dale Jarrett 2001:19
Jeff Gordon 2001:20-36
Ward Burton 2002:1
Sterling Marlin 2002:2-26
Mark Martin 2002:27-28
Jimmie Johnson 2002:29
Tony Stewart 2002:30-36
Michael Waltrip 2003:1
Kurt Busch 2003:2
Michael Waltrip 2003:3
Matt Kenseth 2003:4-36
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2004:1-2
Matt Kenseth 2004:3-6
Kurt Busch 2004:7
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2004:8-14
Jimmie Johnson 2004:15-22
Jeff Gordon 2004:23-24
Jimmie Johnson 2004:25
Jeff Gordon 2004:26
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 2004:27
Jeff Gordon 2004:28
Kurt Busch 2004:29-36
Jeff Gordon 2005:1
Kurt Busch 2005:2-3
Jimmie Johnson 2005:4-15
Greg Biffle 2005:16
Jimmie Johnson 2005:17-20
Tony Stewart 2005:21-27
Jimmie Johnson 2005:28
Tony Stewart 2005:29-36
Jimmie Johnson 2006:1-4
Matt Kenseth 2006:5
Jimmie Johnson 2006:6-7
Matt Kenseth 2006:8
Jimmie Johnson 2006:9-24
Matt Kenseth 2006:25-26
Kevin Harvick 2006:27


Most frequent points leaders

Naturally since Earnhardt has won the most titles and Gordon has won the second most in that span, they are first and second. More interestingly, Jimmie Johnson, who has led the points more weeks than any non-champion, has led for over twice as many weeks as Tony Stewart, although Stewart usually got the last laugh in the end. Bobby Labonte and Tony Stewart are the only two drivers to lead the points only in their championship seasons.

Driver          Weeks   Seasons led (by year.......total)
Led Pts

Dale Earnhardt 206 80, 84, 86-91, 93-96, 98 13
Jeff Gordon 92 95-99, 01, 04-05 8
Cale Yarborough 68 76-78, 83-84 5
Darrell Waltrip 65 79-82, 84-86, 89 8
Bobby Allison 60 75, 79, 81-83, 88 6
Dale Jarrett 51 93, 96-97, 99-01 6
Jimmie Johnson 49 02, 04-06 4
Terry Labonte 49 82, 84-85, 96-97 5
Matt Kenseth 41 03-04, 06 3
Bill Elliott 37 83, 85, 87-88, 92 5
Richard Petty 34 75-77, 79, 81 5
Bobby Labonte 31 00 1
Sterling Marlin 31 94-95, 01-02 4
Rusty Wallace 25 88-89, 93, 98, 01 5
Tony Stewart 22 02, 05 2
Mark Martin 20 90, 97, 00, 02 4
Benny Parsons 18 76, 78 2
Davey Allison 17 92 1
Ernie Irvan 13 91, 94 2
Kurt Busch 12 03-05 3
D Earnhardt Jr. 10 04 1
Jeff Burton 6 99 1
Geoffrey Bodine 5 85-86, 89 3
Neil Bonnett 5 83, 88 2
Jeremy Mayfield 4 98 1
Ricky Rudd 4 91 1
David Pearson 3 76-77 2
Mike Skinner 3 99 1
Michael Waltrip 3 01, 03 2
Harry Gant 2 83 1
Alan Kulwicki 2 89, 92 2
Greg Biffle 1 05 1
Dick Brooks 1 83 1
Ward Burton 1 02 1
Derrike Cope 1 90 1
Kevin Harvick 1 06 1
Dave Marcis 1 78 1
Joe Ruttman 1 83 1
Morgan Shepherd 1 90 1
Lake Speed 1 85 1

Posted: 9/18/2006 7:15:00 PM Total Comments: 0

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